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Message: [QUOTE="Jeba, post: 2338747, member: 1827"] [b]1. SHOCKING[/b] Obvious hope on current form. Very similar form to Viewed last year, who won this race. My only query is the wet. It looks like the track will be slow bordering on heavy. He has had 5 starts on a slow or heavy for just the 1 win, that being said it was a ripper win in the Makybe Diva this year. Anyway, mad to leave him out. [b]2. METAL BENDER[/b] Top pick and I think this is the best horse in the race. He has an appropriate name because he is just tough as nails. Will get the perfect run from the inside barrier here (well it will be barrier 2 if Red Ruler gets a run which I doubt he will). He has been crying out for a staying test all prep and I think he is just the perfect Caulfield Cup horse here. My pick for the win. [b]3. MR MEDICI[/b] I don't think he will win this but I would not be surprised to see him run a good race. Has good form in Hong Kong over some of their best horses, so I am wary of him. Like I said, not prepared to back him, but keeping an eye on him. [b]4. TOKAI TRICK[/b] The Japanese raider. Have a look at Unitab at the moment and you'll find this bloke is 66-1. Considering the demolition job the Japs did on us last time they came out, that looks to be a touch overs to my eye. I have not seem him race or anything, and normally when they race for the first time in Australia the money stays off, but Japan's stayers are the world's best so I will put him in the quaddie for a bit of value. [b]5. BUCCELLATI[/b] No hope here. Has shown nothing all prep and is completely outclassed. [b]6. HARRIS TWEED[/b] Not the worst at big odds. His run in the Melbourne Cup last year was enormous and he has backed that up with good racing and a win at his last start. My only query with him is he may find this a bit too short, think he will be aiming at the first Tuesday in November. So no bet, but could run well. [b]7. MANIGHAR[/b] Not even going to look at the form. European horse, hasn't had a run in Australia. No bet. [b]8. MASTER O'REILLY[/b] This horse is just a prick of a thing. Hasn't won a race in 3 years (being the 2007 Caulfield Cup), and just keeps running on in races and sucking the punters in. The fact that he gets automatic start in the Melbourne Cup is a disgrace. If I could have one wish in racing it would be to ship this horse off to another country to race. Cost the punters a fortune in the 2007 Melbourne Cup, and even a win here at 100-1 wouldn't see them end up even. [b]9. MONACO CONSUL[/b] Been disappointing since his win in the Derby last year and would have to really turn it around to be any hope here. Might run well but I doubt he can win. [b]10. TRIPLE HONOUR[/b] Not upto the class. If he was a hope he'd have won the Craven Plate in Sydney but was beaten by Cest La Guerre who hadn't won a race since the 2008 NZ Derby before that. [b]11. ZAVITE[/b] Will probably be thereabouts for most of the race but won't be holding on when the pressure goes on. [b]12. ALCOPOP[/b] Beachy told me that this is his top pick in the race [icon_wink Nah, I give him a hope based on his last run. Talented horse who I think is capable of winning a Group 1 race. But geez, terrible barrier so he will have to be at his best. [b]13. HERCULIAN PRINCE[/b] Depends on the bit lifter. Honestly who knows with this bloke. Donkey licked them in the Metrop but the field in that race didn't have the class of what he is up against here. Another who will be in the leading bunch for most of the race, but I am prepared to risk him and say he can't hold on. [b]14. ZABRASIVE[/b] Not likely here. Has shown nothing this prep and I don't think he will run the trip. [b]15. DESCARADO[/b] Another who will be in the leading bunch, and from barrier 18 should set a decent tempo to give all horses a hope but I don't think he can hold on for the win or a place. [b]16. JESSICABEEL[/b] Sydney Cup winner who comes through the Turnbull, but there are a few out of that race I would back before her. Might run well but I doubt she can win. [b]17. FAINT PERFUME[/b] Blinkers go on, and I think she is a massive chance in this. Group 1 Glen Boss has the ride and trained by the Master, so I reckon she is a big chance and nice each way odds. [b]18. DARIANA[/b] Another of Bart's, and another who is a big hope. Brained them in the QLD Derby and has come on nicely since that race and has the form jockey in Victoria to ride, so another big hope in the race. [b]19E. MOURAYAN[/b] Decent showing in the Metrop under a terrible ride and from the Lloyd Williams stable which is now flying this Spring, but I don't think he has the turn of foot to win a Caulfield Cup. If he gets a run that is. [b]20E. RED RULER[/b] If he gets a run he is no hope. [b]21E. DRUNKEN SAILOR[/b] Another European, and no hope. [b]22E. VALDEMORO[/b] Has been a big disappointment this prep and won't get a run anyway. [b][u]THE TIP[/u][/b] I think Metal Bender will win. Just looks like his timing is perfect for this race. Other hopes are Shocking, Alcopop, Faint Perfume and Dariana. But Metal Bender well on top for mine, and be wary of the Japanese horse at big odds. [/QUOTE]

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