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Message: [QUOTE="Dave, post: 2338916, member: 1763"] Might as well throw my two bob in as well 1. SHOCKING Top pick for me - going enormous this campaign. Has drawn beautifully, Rodd will be able to get him in a great spot and he does have good heave form, winning the Makybe Diva this Spring and a very close second on a bottomless track in the Qld Derby. I reckon 2400m is his go this prep. 2. METAL BENDER Has claims obviously but if the emergencies don't run he starts from the inside barrier and a horse hasn't won the Caulfield Cup from barrier 1 in 40 odd years. I think he is under the odds - place chance for mine. 3. MR MEDICI Dominant win in the heaviest rain I have ever seen last start in Hong Kong. He left the HK champ Viva Pataca in his wake up the straight. They say he may lead in the race - fitness could be his downfall 4. TOKAI TRICK If you back him surely it's for the Japanese element only. Hasn't started for agaes and his last run was poor, even though it was in a race that Makybe Diva once ran in and failed. He is huge odds though, could well be another Delta Blues - I couldn't back him 5. BUCCELLATI Poor form - not going well enough 6. HARRIS TWEED A real live chance at $26 I think. This horse is going better than ever, sting out of the ground suits and the distance is not going to be an issue. The margin wasn't huge when he won last start but the jockey knew he was the best horse in the race and rode him accordingly. Should settle midfield but watch for him late. 7. MANIGHAR Has great wet track form and is prepared by a trainer who knows how to get the job done in Australia. Oliver rides and I think he has the most CC wins by any jockey. I don't usually give the overseas horses a chance but this bloke should get a glorious run and I wouldn't leave him out. 8. MASTER O'REILLY When is this horse going to retire??? Won an EI affected CC a few years ago but unless he starts tomorrow has no chance here. 9. MONACO CONSUL It wouldn't surprise me to see this bloke won a race. Has drawn barrier 1 his last 2 starts and ended up bottled in on the fence which I don't think he appreciates. Has good wet track form and will appreciate the distance. Rough place chance. 10. TRIPLE HONOUR Doubt he can figure - is a good honest horse who normally runs well but think he lacks the class. 11. ZAVITE Will be up on the speed so that is a positive. Donkey licked them in a cup race in NZ earlier this year but that is a much weaker class than this. Doubt he can figure 12. ALCOPOP Short price, bad draw, ordinary trainer. I doubt him on the wet track. He might well have won this race 12 months ago - I don't think he can win in 2010 13. HERCULIAN PRINCE Beat the B graders in the Metrop but it was on a wet track so that is one positive for him. I don't think Mourayan could win this and if Mourayan was well ridden in the Metrop he would have made a race of it I reckon. I think he is a risk, even though Gai is flying at the moment. 14. ZABRASIVE There is a promo going where you can win a share in this bloke each time he starts this Spring. A widse bloke told me he would give it back if he won it. Won a Group 1 race in Sydney during the Autumn beating some good quality horses but he is going terribly this prep. No chance 15. DESCARADO Will race on the pace but might have to work too hard from the wide barrier. Could be a major contender next Spring I think. 16. JESSICABEEL Terrible draw and doesn't like the wet. The longer the races the better she seems to go but I doubt she can be a factor here. 17. FAINT PERFUME Now that the rain has come this is Bart's best chance I think. JB has put the blinkers on in an attempt to get her mind on the job and I am sure it will make a difference. She was just starting to warm up late last start, is beautifully drawn and has been set for this for some time now. A definate winning chance. 18. DARIANA On a dry track she would have been my top pick but from all reports she needs good ground to show her best. Absolutely brained them in the Qld Derby and only good filles can do that. Jockey is flying and you can never discount the great JB Cummings - maybe 1st Tuesday in November for her on a sunny day with firm footing? 19E. MOURAYAN From my favourite stable but I doubt he would win, even if he did get a start. Was very tough in the Metrop behind Herculian Prince - Maybe the Moonee Valley Cup or the 2800 on Cup Day is the race for him 20E. RED RULER Had a streak of wins in NZ earlier in the year but that doesn't mean much in the Spring - not a hope 21E. DRUNKEN SAILOR Not sure why they have bought this horse over - trrainer must have spun a good story to the owner to get him to fork out for the trip 22E. VALDEMORO Thank good ness she won't be running - everyone named Val will save their hard earned THE TIPS; 1 - Shocking - almost bomb proof each way I reckon 2 - Faint Perfume 3 - Harris Tweed Roughie - Manighar Good luck if you are having a punt [/QUOTE]

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