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Message: [QUOTE="Jason Simmons, post: 3038842, member: 8275"] We’d have to be pretty dire to get the spoon from here. Finals contention is obviously very possible, top 4 technically still possible but highly unlikely. After round 11, we are on 10 points with 5 wins under our belt. The bye rounds will put us on 12 points. From here we have 13 remaining games. 8th to 5th last year finished on 32 points. In 2017, 30 points was enough to finish 8th. To be optimistic, 9 wins from our last 13 games, would leave us on 30 points and should see us definitely in the top 8, given there are only 25 rounds this year (26 in 2017). 8 wins would leave us on 28 and we’d be probably relying on other results to go our way to get into the final 8. An extremely unrealistic 13 wins from 13 games, would see us end up on 38 points, which could be enough to see us finish minor premiers, based on last years results (34 points -> minor premiers). At best, Souths could achieve a theoretical 48 points if they win all their remaining games, again that is extremely unlikely. I suspect they will be in the 36-42 bracket by the end of the season. Any additional wins over the 8 minimum will push us higher on the ladder. Fewer than 8 more wins will most likely see us miss the 8, unless other results are extremely favourable. Any fewer than 7, will IMHO definitely see us miss the 8. So the maths is simple. We need at least 8 wins to have a chance of making the top 8. 9 or more would make it definite and 10 or more would push us close to top 4... I predict we will get those 8 out of our last 12 and finish 7-8 on the ladder. [/QUOTE]

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