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Message: [QUOTE="Porthoz, post: 2738948, member: 2221"] You do know that repeating the same thing ad nauseum won't make it true, right? Maybe I should break it down in sizeable and easier to swallow chunks: - Hunt's progress is very unlikely to be steep at this stage. It will be flattening or plateauing, although he may still have some improvement in him. - Taylor's progress is still very much in its steep phase, since he is still a rookie learning to apply his talent on the big stage. - We have a baseline called Ben Hunt's whole career. - We have similar trajectories up to the start of both players FG careers. - We can compare both players during those trajectories, but cannot do so for the remaining of Hunt's career, as Taylor hasn't got to that point yet. Now, like most scouts do, you compare the innate talent of the players, their willingness to work hard, their physical attributes, their intelligence and their mental toughness during the trajectories they have in common, and based on how far the older player got, you extrapolate how far the younger one can go. It's just an exercise of probabilities taking into account a relatively normal career path, because like [MENTION=2065]lynx000[/MENTION] said, anything could happen... from the player crumbling under the pressure, to a possible Earth invasion by hostile alien forces. [/QUOTE]

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