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Rugby League
Brisbane Broncos Talk
Broncos are winning the 2023 NRL Premiership
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[QUOTE="Foordy, post: 3542251, member: 1769"] Ok, so with the Raiders losing today, our top 4 chances just got more secure. if my maths is correct (and admittedly it sucks), a likely Cowboys win over the Titans tomorrow will mean that 1 win should secure us a top 4 place (maybe 2 if it comes down to differential) [B]Showing my work:[/B] in this instance, i'll assume worst case scenario and consider that the rest of current top 4 win their remaining games, in each instance below, I'll also work out what it will take for each team to over take us, but then assume that the other teams currently outside the top 4 don't win enough games to overtake the team in the scenario i'm working on. [B]Broncos | 15 wins | 4 games remaining | currently a +153 differential[/B] Assuming the we only win one more game that would take us to 16 wins for the season [B]Raiders | 11 wins | 5 games remaining | currently a -78 differential[/B] If we win 0 more games - need to win all remaining games If we win 1 more game - need to win every game for the rest of the season and overcome a 231 point worse differential. if we win 2 more games - no chance of top 4 Sharks [B]| 10 wins | 6 games remaining | currently a +98 differential[/B] If we win 0 more games - need 5 wins minimum and a over come a 55 point worse differential. 6 wins gets them top 4 If we win 1 more game - need to win every remaining game. if we win 2 more games - no chance of top 4 Rabbitohs [B]| 11 wins | 4 games remaining | currently a +90 differential[/B] If we win 0 more games - need to win every remaining game and over come a 63 point worse differential If we win 1 more game - no chance of top 4 Cowboys [B]| 11 wins | 5 games remaining | currently a +57 differential[/B] If we win 0 more games - need 4 wins and to over come a 96 point worse differential; 5 wins gets them top 4 If we win 1 more game - need to win every game for the rest of the season and overcome a 96 point worse differential if we win 2 more games - no chance of top 4 TLDR: 1 more win should secure us top 4 ... 2 more wins guarantees it [/QUOTE]
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Brisbane Broncos Talk
Broncos are winning the 2023 NRL Premiership
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