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Message: [QUOTE="McHunt, post: 3585668, member: 9853"] This is the same pattern as every other year: commentators assemble last year's 8, throw in a smokey based on something fairly small that changed (in their eyes), shake the box and pull out 8 sticks. The most obvious tips for the premiership are the two teams that fought it off in the last season. Every year we see these tips, and every year they're worth no more than looking at the last season's ladder. Anyone who assumes we'll go one better this season, simply because we ALMOST did it last year doesn't have history on their side. It's always a punt. I crunched these numbers a while back: [INDENT=2][I]Since the end of Super League (1998), only two clubs have been runners-up in the Grand Final and gone on to win the following year:[/I][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][I]Melbourne: 2006-2007*, 2008-2009*, 2016-2017 (*disqualified)[/I][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][I]Penrith: 2020-2021[/I][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][I]Meanwhile only one other team has made the grand final after losing it:[/I][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][I]Roosters: 2003-2004[/I][/INDENT] [INDENT=2][/INDENT] Are we the next Melbourne/Penrith? We used to be, and there's no reason to think we can't. Except this time last year most of us were worried we mightn't even make the eight. [/QUOTE]

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