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Message: [QUOTE="Big Pete, post: 2481905, member: 1899"] Is it just me, or does everyone seem overly-eager to draw conclusions on the competition especially early this season? Clearly, it's a trend that's existed for plenty of seasons but the expression rome wasn't built in a day no longer seems to apply in the NRL and it seems like fans have a fair idea of who's going to win this season only a month or so into the competition. Now, this isn't a thread to discuss the behavioral pattern of the fans (how boring would that be?), rather it's a thread to see whether there's any basis for such bold predictions and for members to take a stab at predicting who are early season pretenders and who will rise? What I'm going to do is draw up the past five top 8 rankings (including this years) and see if any conclusions can be drawn. 2013 1. Melbourne 2. South Sydney 3. Manly 4. Gold Coast 5. Newcastle 6. Sydney 7. Cronulla 8. Wests 2012 1. Melbourne (Premiers) 2. Canterbury-Bankstown (Runners Up) 3. Brisbane (8th) 4. St. George Illawarra (9th) 5. Penrith (15th) 6. Warriors (14th) 7. Canberra (6th) 8. North Queensland (5th) 2011 1. Brisbane (3rd) 2. Melbourne (Minor Premiers) 3. St. George Illawarra (4th) 4. Canterbury-Bankstown (9th) 5. Newcastle (8th) 6. North Queensland (7th) 7. Sydney (11th) 8. Manly (Premiers) 2010 1. St. George Illawarra (Premiers) 2. Wests (3rd) 3. Gold Coast (4th) 4. Sydney (Runners Up) 5. Warriors (5th) 6. Manly (8th) 7. Souths (9th) 8. Panthers (2nd) *Didn't include Melbourne who would later be stripped of all their points 2009 1. Souths (10th) 2. Gold Coast (3rd) 3. St. George Illwarra (Minor Premiers) 4. Brisbane (6th) 5. Bulldogs (2nd) 6. Panthers (11th) 7. Newcastle (7th) 8. Melbourne* (Premiers) Couple of interesting points. * At worst, 3 teams who were in the 8 at this stage dropped out. * The premiers always featured in the 8 I suppose the question becomes, how many teams do you see dropping out of the 8? Who fills their void? Are the premiers in the top 8 as we speak? [/QUOTE]

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