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Message: [QUOTE="coreyh88, post: 2519425, member: 8188"] At this point I'd say there is >80% chance that the raiders lose contact with the eight. If they do (I'm not sure of warriors run home) it will be 50/50 with us and the warriors with the one point being the difference. If we beat the knights in our next game I also give them a 50\50 at losing contact. Assuming then that we beat penrith I give us 80% of bearing them to the eight. Although it's unlikely if the sharks get stripped of points I give us 95% chance of getting in the eight. [/QUOTE]

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